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June
17th
2007
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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2007 Week in Preview: Week 12

by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Schedule recommendations for teams with 6 games

Good for hitters / Good for pitchers
Arizona: 3 Home vs. TB; 3 Home vs. BAL.
Cleveland: 3 Home vs. PHI; 3 Road at WAS.
Los Angeles Angels: 3 Home vs. HOU; 3 Home vs. PIT.
Milwaukee: 3 Home vs. SF; 3 Home vs. KC.
New York Mets: 3 Home vs. MIN; 3 Home vs. OAK.
San Diego: 3 Home s. BAL; 3 Home vs. BOS.
Seattle: 3 Home vs. PIT; 3 Home vs. CIN.

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Atlanta: 3 Home vs. BOS; 3 Home vs. DET.
Chicago Cubs: 3 Road at TEX; 3 Road at CHW.
Chicago White Sox: 3 Home vs. FLO; 3 Home vs. CHC.
Colorado: 3 Home vs. NYY; 3 Road at TOR.
Florida: 3 Road at CHW; 3 Home vs. MIN.
Houston: 3 Road at LAA; 3 Road at TEX.
Kansas City: 3 Road at STL; 3 Road at MIL.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 3 Road at TOR; 3 Road at TB.
New York Yankees: 3 Road at COL; 3 Road at SF.
San Francisco: 3 Road at MIL; 3 Home vs. NYY.
St. Louis: 3 Home vs. KC: 3 Home vs. PHI.
Tampa Bay: 3 Road at ARI; 3 Home vs. LAD.
Texas: 3 Home vs. CHC; 3 Home vs. HOU.
Toronto: 3 Home vs. LAD; 3 Home vs. COL.

Bad for hitters / Good for pitchers
Boston: 3 Road at ATL; 3 Road at SD.
Detroit: 3 Road at WAS; 3 Road at ATL.
Minnesota: 3 Road at NYM; 3 Road at FLO.
Oakland: 3 Home vs. CIN; 3 Road at NYM.
Washington: 3 Home vs. DET; 3 Home vs. CLE.

Bad for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Baltimore: 3 Road at SD; 3 Road at ARI.
Cincinnati: 3 Road at OAK; 3 Road at SEA.
Philadelphia: 3 Road at CLE; 3 Road at STL.
Pittsburgh: 3 Road at SEA; 3 Road at LAA.


Pitchers with 2 starts(to deploy everywhere you own them):
Miguel Batista: Tue:PIT(T.Gorzelanny); Sun:CIN(K.Lohse)
Joe Blanton: Mon:CIN(K.Lohse); Sat:@NYM(O.Hernandez)
Matt Chico: Tue:DET(M.Maroth); Sun:CLE(Cl.Lee)
Jose Contreras: Mon:FLO(Jo.Johnson): Sun:CHC(S.Marshall)
Doug Davis: Tue:TB(J.Howell); Sun:BAL(S.Trachsel)
Chad Gaudin: Tue:CIN(H.Bailey); Sun:@NYM(J.Maine)
Tom Gorzelanny: Tue:@SEA(M.Batista); Sun:@LAA(J.Lackey)
Cole Hamels: Mon:@CLE(Cl.Lee); Sun:@STL(A.Wainwright)
Livan Hernandez: Mon:TB(Ed.Jackson); Sat:BAL(B.Burres)
J.P. Howell???: Tue:@ARI(L.Hernandez); Sun:LAD(B.Penny)???
Tim Hudson?: Tue:BOS(J.Beckett); Sun:DET(M.Maroth)???
Chuck James: Mon:BOS(C.Schilling); Sat:DET(J.Verlander)?
John Lackey: Mon:HOU(C.Sampson); Sun:PIT(T.Gorzelanny)
Kyle Lohse: Mon:@OAK(J.Blanton); Sun:@SEA(M.Batista)
Cliff Lee: Mon:PHI(C.Hamels); Sun:@WAS(M.Chico)
Noah Lowry: Mon:@MIL(Y.Gallardo); Sun:NYY(M.Mussina)
John Maine: Mon:MIN(C.Silva); Sun:OAK(C.Gaudin)
Dustin McGowan: Tue:LAD(B.Penny); Sun:COL(J.Fogg)
Jake Peavy: Tue:BAL(S.Trachsel); Sun:BOS(C.Schilling)
Brad Penny: Tue:@TOR(D.McGowan); Sun:@TB(J.Howell???)
Johan Santana?: Tue:@NYM(Jo.Sosa); Sun:@FLO(D.Willis)???
Curt Schilling: Mon:@ATL(C.James); Sun:@SD(J.Peavy)
Ben Sheets?: Tue:SF(T.Lincecum); Sun:KC(Od.Perez)
Adam Wainwright: Mon:KC(Od.Perez); Sun:PHI(C.Hamels)
Dontrelle Willis: Tue:@CHW(J.Danks); Sun:MIN(J.Santana?)

Pitchers with 2 starts to deploy only in leagues that don't count qualitative stats:
Josh Fogg: Tue:NYY(M.Mussina); Sun:@TOR(D.McGowan)
Josh Johnson: Mon:@CHW(J.Contreras); Sat:MIN(K.Slowey)
Mike Maroth: Mon:@WAS(M.Chico); Sun:@ATL(T.Hudson?)
Sean Marshall: Tue:@TEX(Ro.Tejeda); Sun:@CHW(J.Contreras)
Mike Mussina: Mon:@COL(J.Fogg); Sun:@SF(N.Lowry)
Odalis Perez: Mon:@STL(A.Wainwright); Sun:@MIL(B.Sheets?)
Chris Sampson: Mon:@LAA(J.Lackey); Sun:@TEX(Ro.Tejeda)
Robinson Tejeda: Tue:CHC(S.Marshall); Sun:HOU(C.Sampson)
Steve Trachsel: Tue:@SD(J.Peavy); Sun:@ARI(Do.Davis)


Diamond Challenge

Given our starting pitching injuries and the fact we want to keep Papelbon deployed as much as possible, strikeouts and wins increasingly look like problems for us. To remedy that situation, we're purchasing John Lackey today for his double and then expect to buy C.C. Sabathia next Sunday, only skipping Dan Haren next week since Haren faces Sabathia and then heads to the Bronx. However, we still expect to buy Haren by the first full week of the second half barring a remarkable turnaround on our pitching staff. The newly-injured A.J. Burnett will make room for Lackey on this team.

SP(6)
Johan Santana?: Tue:@NYM(Jo.Sosa); Sun:@FLO(D.Willis)???
Roy Oswalt: Sat:@TEX(K.Millwood)
John Smoltz: Fri:DET(An.Miller?)
Ben Sheets?: Tue:SF(T.Lincecum); Sun:KC(Od.Perez)???
Jake Peavy: Tue:BAL(S.Trachsel); Sun:BOS(C.Schilling)
Roy Halladay: Wed:LAD(H.Kuo)
Brandon Webb: Fri:BAL(D.Cabrera)
John Lackey: Mon:HOU(C.Sampson); Sun:PIT(T.Gorzelanny)
Josh Beckett: Tue:@ATL(T.Hudson)
Chris Young: Fri:BOS(D.Matsuzaka)
Felix Hernandez: Thu:PIT(J.Van Benschoten)
Jon Papelbon: 3 Road at ATL; 3 Road at SD.

Lackey joins hopeful doubles from Santana, Sheets, and Peavy. Papelbon remains deployed, and then Webb seems the best bet since we lack the cap room for Smoltz, expect a suspension for Young, and like Webb's skill trends better than those of Halladay and Felix. Despite the similar risk of suspension for Matt Capps, we want to bench Ryan Dempster with the Cubs headed to Texas and The Cell and therefore hope we at least get three games from Capps.

Wright returns to the lineup for Manny, who spends the week in Atlanta and San Diego while possibly even sitting a day or two in the NL parks. Howard remains active despite facing left-handers in Cleveland in the hope that he mashes St. Louis pitching over the weekend. Morneau, heading to Shea and then Florida, stays on the bench, as do Bard, Hall, and Baldelli.

Rotohelp.com(14th lg; 150th div; 2351st overall)
Week 12: June 18-June 24

 
C	Brian McCann		880
C	Russ Martin		680 
1B	Albert Pujols		2050 
1B	Ryan Howard		1420 
2B	Ian Kinsler		630
2B	Kelly Johnson		400 
3B	Garrett Atkins		1150
3B	Mark Teahen		750
SS	Jose Reyes		1610 
SS	Hanley Ramirez		1100
OF	Matt Holliday		1410 
OF	Willy Taveras		860
OF	Barry Bonds		830 
OF	Magglio Ordonez		820 
OF	Delmon Young		750 
OF	Shane Victorino		560
DH	David Wright		1550
DH	Prince Fielder		910 

SP	Johan Santana		1960 
SP	Ben Sheets		1220 
SP	Jake Peavy		1180
SP	Brandon Webb		1130 
SP	John Lackey		1040
SP	Jon Papelbon		900
RP	Francisco Cordero	1260 
RP	Takashi Saito		1200
RP	Joe Borowski		1110 
RP	Matt Capps		600

Total Salary for Week 12: 	29960


Diamond Challenge - 2nd Season

SP(6)
Johan Santana?: Tue:@NYM(Jo.Sosa); Sun:@FLO(D.Willis)???
Roy Oswalt: Sat:@TEX(K.Millwood)
John Smoltz: Fri:DET(An.Miller?)
Jake Peavy: Tue:BAL(S.Trachsel); Sun:BOS(C.Schilling)
John Lackey: Mon:HOU(C.Sampson); Sun:PIT(T.Gorzelanny)
C.C. Sabathia: Wed:PHI(J.Lieber)
Jeremy Bonderman: Wed:@WAS(M.Bacsik)
Daisuke Matsuzaka: Fri:@SD(C.Young)
Dan Haren: Wed:CIN(M.Belisle)
Tim Hudson?: Tue:BOS(J.Beckett); Sun:DET(M.Maroth)???
Tim Lincecum?: Tue:@MIL(B.Sheets); Sun:NYY(N.Lowry)???
Cole Hamels: Mon:@CLE(Cl.Lee); Sun:@STL(A.Wainwright)
Randy Wolf: Sat:@TB(S.Kazmir)
Jon Papelbon: 3 Road at ATL; 3 Road at SD.

Since Santana, Hudson, and Lincecum appear at least reasonably likely not to double, we're leaving them on the bench in favor of taking Haren and Sabathia to join Peavy, Lackey, Hamels, and Papelbon.

Alex Rios and Hardy replace Youkilis, who likely will cede at-bats to David Ortiz in the NL parks, and Upton, who heads to our bench thanks to his delayed DL trip. The resurgent Kelly Johnson also subs for the struggling Howie Kendrick while McCann mans the water cooler for everyone else.

Rotohelp.com(6th lg; 35th div; 227th overall)
Week 12: June 18-June 24

C	Victor Martinez		1310 
C	Russ Martin		680
1B	Justin Morneau		1180
1B	Prince Fielder		910 
2B	Ian Kinsler		630 
2B	Kelly Johnson		400
3B	Mike Lowell		1070
3B	Mark Teahen		750
SS	Jose Reyes		1610
SS	Hanley Ramirez		1100
OF	Vladimir Guerrero	1880
OF	Matt Holliday		1410 
OF	Grady Sizemore		1380
OF	Magglio Ordonez		820 
OF	Ken Griffey		790
OF	Shane Victorino		560 
DH	Alex Rios		1000 
DH  J.J. Hardy		420

SP	Jake Peavy		1180 
SP	John Lackey		1040 
SP	C.C. Sabathia		1040
SP	Dan Haren		940
SP	Cole Hamels		660 
SP	Jon Papelbon		900
RP	Francisco Cordero	1260
RP	Takashi Saito		1200 
RP	Jose Valverde		1100
RP	Al Reyes		750

Total Salary for Week 12: 	27970


Internet Challenge

With offense remaining a serious issue here, we're dumping the useless Chris Iannetta for Victor Martinez, who addresses our primary needs of power, runs, and batting average more than Russ Martin. We also trust Martinez's skills and don't mind spending the extra cap cost for an established bat at catcher.

SP(6)
Johan Santana: Tue:@NYM(Jo.Sosa)
Roy Oswalt: No start.
Ben Sheets: Tue:SF(T.Lincecum)
Jake Peavy: Tue:BAL(S.Trachsel)
Brandon Webb: No start.
Greg Maddux: No start.
Josh Beckett: Tue:@ATL(T.Hudson)
Daisuke Matsuzaka: No start.
Dan Haren: Wed:CIN(M.Belisle)
Rich Harden: No start(DL).
Felix Hernandez: Thu:PIT(J.Van Benschoten)
Matt Cain: No start.
Jon Papelbon: 3 Road at ATL.

Santana and Beckett seem similar, so Beckett will deploy for cap reasons along side Sheets, Peavy, Haren, Felix, and Papelbon.

Victor subs for Bard due to the latter's flu-like symptoms, though with Howard facing three southpaws in Cleveland, Hafner deploys for Howard, along with the hot Hall, who replaces Manny. Upton and Baldelli stay benched until we see a replacement that we want to use immediately.

Rotohelp.com(9th lg; 207th overall)
Week 12a: June 18-June 21

 
C	Victor Martinez		1310 
C	Brian McCann		880 
1B	Travis Hafner		1380
1B	Prince Fielder		910
2B	Ian Kinsler		630
2B	Kelly Johnson		400 
3B	David Wright		1550
3B	Mark Teahen		750
SS	Jose Reyes		1610 
SS	Hanley Ramirez		1100
OF	Matt Holliday		1410
OF	Alex Rios		1000 
OF	Willy Taveras		860
OF	Barry Bonds		830 
OF	Delmon Young		750
OF	Shane Victorino		560
DH	Albert Pujols		2050 
DH	Bill Hall		900

SP	Ben Sheets		1220
SP	Jake Peavy		1180 
SP	Josh Beckett		1000
SP	Dan Haren		940 
SP	Felix Hernandez		840
SP	Jon Papelbon		900  
RP	Francisco Cordero	1260
RP	Takashi Saito		1200
RP	Ryan Dempster		1130
RP	Joe Borowski		1110

Total Week 12a Salary:		29660


Fantasy Baseball & Fanball.Com Cap Challenge (aka Budget Baseball)
(Same rules = same rosters and moves for both teams)

We also will add John Lackey here, dumping the injured A.J. Burnett.

SP(6)
Johan Santana?: Tue:@NYM(Jo.Sosa); Sun:@FLO(D.Willis)???
Roy Oswalt: Sat:@TEX(K.Millwood)
John Lackey: Mon:HOU(C.Sampson); Sun:PIT(T.Gorzelanny)
Jake Peavy: Tue:BAL(S.Trachsel); Sun:BOS(C.Schilling)
Josh Beckett: Tue:@ATL(T.Hudson)
C.C. Sabathia: Wed:PHI(J.Lieber)
Ben Sheets?: Tue:SF(T.Lincecum); Sun:KC(Od.Perez)???
Chris Young: Fri:BOS(D.Matsuzaka)
Cole Hamels: Mon:@CLE(Cl.Lee); Sun:@STL(A.Wainwright)
Jon Papelbon: 3 Road at ATL; 3 Road at SD.

Lackey joins doubles from Peavy, Hamels, and hopefully Sheets. Due to cap reasons, Sabathia and Papelbon will claim the last two spots over Santana, who might not post a ton of points even if he doubles.

Wright and Teahen return to the lineup after we missed about sixty points from them. Upton and Howard hit the bench, with the latter missing time due to his trip to Cleveland. Mauer, Drew, Bonds, and Baldelli also stay benched, but to get under the cap, Chris B. Young replaces Adrian Gonzalez while Kinsler subs for Brandon Phillips given the latter's potentially worrisome HBP today.

Rotohelp.com(FB: 9th lg; 826th overall)
& Rotohelp.com(FC: 11th lg; 1656th overall)
Week 12: June 18-June 24

 
C	Brian McCann		1880
C	Josh Bard		1010 
1B	Albert Pujols		3890
1B	Prince Fielder		1850 
2B	Chase Utley		2850 
2B	Ian Kinsler		1270 
3B	Garrett Atkins		2240
3B	Mark Teahen		1980
SS	Jose Reyes		2460 
SS	Hanley Ramirez		2150
OF	Grady Sizemore		2760 
OF	Matt Holliday		2730
OF	Nick Swisher		2190 
OF	Magglio Ordonez		1770 
OF	Delmon Young		1500
OF	Willy Taveras		1460 
DH	David Wright		2900  
DH	Chris B. Young		1000

SP	John Lackey		2790
SP	Jake Peavy		2730 
SP	C.C. Sabathia		2490
SP	Ben Sheets		2030
SP	Cole Hamels		1450
SP	Jon Papelbon		1950
RP	Ryan Dempster		2240
RP	Takashi Saito		2200
RP	Joe Borowski		2100
RP	Jose Valverde		1880

Total Salary for Week 12:	59750


Today's Fantasy Rx: If you have alternatives, consider sitting your Orioles' 1B/DH-types, Marcus Thames and possibly Craig Monroe, Jason Kubel, and Josh Phelps. Keep David Ortiz, Ryan Shealy, and Mike Sweeney in your lineups.

National League owners should seek to deploy as many Cubs, Reds, Rockies, Astros, Dodgers, Phillies, and Pirates as you own given that six of those clubs spend the week in AL parks with an extra lineup slot available while the Rockies play the Yankees at home and then go to Toronto. Conversely, exercise caution when deploying relievers or marginal starters on any of those teams.


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