Rotohelp  
June
2nd
2006
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
Rotohelp
Our Philosophy

2006 AL LPR: Week 9
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Welcome to our weekly LPR rankings, our primary method of identifying highly skilled and/or consistently effective pitchers. While we have not changed this system since last season, feel free to refer to this key for a complete description of the codes. We have included the five most recent 2006 QA scores for each starter, along with the 10 most recent QA scores for each reliever, tabulating all data through May 31st. Pitchers with no QA scores have not pitched this year, so do not roster any of them unless you see someone ready to return to the majors.


1
2A - C.C. Sabathia(35554)
ax - Francisco Liriano(454)
A - Scott Kazmir(25543)
B - Jeremy Bonderman(24033)

abxyz - Scot Shields(3534434524)
abcx - J.J. Putz(5444453354)

Barring an abrupt collapse of his skills, Liriano appears on pace to finish the year as the first pitcher this decade to hit a perfect 1AXax in a single season. Of course, Sabathia and Putz also both score nearly as impressive as Liriano's marks. Jon Papelbon and Javier Vazquez only missed by a couple of groundballs.
2
BXY - Roy Halladay(44452)
AX - Kevin Millwood(04534)
BC - Matt Clement(22400)
BY - Felix Hernandez(50354)
B - Josh Beckett(54250)
Y - Bartolo Colon(402)

3abcxyz - Mariano Rivera(3324252445)
3bcyz - Julian Tavarez(2454333233)
abcxyz - B.J. Ryan(4443345444)
abxy - Huston Street(4453342344)
abxy - Justin Duchscherer(4224434434)
aby - Todd Jones(5342244541)

Felix Hernandes suddenly seems back on track, as does Mariano Rivera after an unimpressive opening month.


3
ACXZ - Curt Schilling(41143)
BCZ - Randy Johnson(03213)
CZ - Freddy Garcia(53424)
C - Jeff Weaver(10043)

abxyz - Mike Timlin(3243453543)
bcyz - Kiko Calero(5434143334)
Travis Harper(2432021302)
Kevin Gregg(243221)


A
BCXYZ - Johan Santana(44534)
BXY - Rich Harden(34440)
BX - Jose Contreras(24334)
CZ - Jake Westbrook(43424)
C - Nate Robertson(12324)
X - Mike Mussina(25354)
X - Javier Vazquez(52134)
X - Jason Johnson(04304)
Daniel Cabrera(45540)

Nate Robertson's trend intrigues me, so consider dealing for him if you need a starter.


B
XY - Kelvim Escobar(53343)
Barry Zito(44234)
John Lackey(34235)
Erik Bedard(02310)

Y - Hector Carrasco(4422343453)
Scott Downs(4253143500)


C
Za - Joe Kennedy(3043242450)
ax - Dennys Reyes(4545344015)
Z - Carl Pavano
Bobby Madritsch


X
Dan Haren(43353)
Jarrod Washburn(33305)


Y
Esteban Loaiza(0030)


Z
Mark Buehrle(33332)
David Wells(00)


a
bcxyz - Joe Nathan(4345354425)
bcxyz - Bob Wickman(3425354424)
bcxyz - Francisco Rodriguez(5454342235)
bcxyz - Akinori Otsuka(3432535434)
bcxyz - Juan Rincon(2543344342)
bcyz - Francisco Cordero(3541444324)
bxy - Bobby Jenks(4425044354)
by - George Sherrill(4450432455)
by - Scott Schoeneweis(0544242433)
xy - Fernando Rodney(5134354453)
xz - Elmer Dessens(2445342134)
b - Scott Sauerbeck(3054454503)
c - Mike Myers(0230350530)
x - Fernando Cabrera(4345434443)
x - Matt Thornton(3345554424)
x - Chris Britton(4335443441)
x - Jon Papelbon(3425455334)
x - Ron Mahay(4323444443)
x - Pete Walker(2354354423)
x - Shawn Camp(3153443224)
y - Neal Cotts(4552422444)
Andy Sisco(4504340441)
Scott Feldman(3443254342)
Rick Bauer(2234454341)


b
cxyz - Rafael Betancourt(4503445343)
cxy - Kyle Farnsworth(4343331344)
xyz - Ron Villone(5233343333)
cz - Octavio Dotel
yz - Rudy Seanez(3333434235)
x - Tyler Walker(4533333433)
y - David Riske(1433)
y - Jay Witasick(233)
Bobby Seay(5535203333)
Ambiorix Burgos(1522314122)


c
yz - Jeremy Affeldt(30221)

yz - Eddie Guardado(4453550430)
yz - Guillermo Mota(5252542154)
yz - Dustin Hermanson
z - Brendan Donnelly(2435242353)
z - Todd Williams(3422251434)
z - Antonio Alfonseca(2344242242)
z - Keith Foulke(3441333533)
z - LaTroy Hawkins(1433433203)
z - John Halama(1243213431)
J.C. Romero(2333442334)
Brian Meadows(3334532324)
Dan Miceli(0424433231)


x
y - Chris Ray(5334235434)
C.J. Wilson(4334453423)
Vinnie Chulk(3334404433)
Joel Zumaya(5433322435)
Rafael Soriano(4313233443)
Joaquin Benoit(3443523322)
Jamie Walker(3300343331)


y
z - Jason Frasor(2434013434)
Justin Speier(4223335325)
Cliff Politte(3432522201)
Manny Delcarmen(225343)
Scott Erickson(224433)
Ron Flores(13341323)
Marco Carvajal


z
Rodrigo Lopez(20232)


1 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
     and G-F of 1.0+ in 25+ IP in 2006.
2 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
     and G-F of 1.0+ in 25+ IP in 2005.
3 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
     and G-F of 1.0+ in 25+ IP in 2004.


QA score for starts: up to 5 total points, one for each statistical goal, to any starter who pitches at least 5 innings and fulfills any of the following skill qualifications: K>=IP-2, BB<=IP/3, H<=IP, HR<=1, and G-F>=1.00. Any starter who doesn't reach any of the required statistical goals or fails to pitch 5 innings earns a 0 QA score. Scores of 5 and 4 qualify as DOMinant outings, a 3 is DULl, and anything below 3 ranks as a skill DISaster.

QA score for relief outings: up to 5 total points, one for each statistical goal, to any reliever who retires at least one batter and fulfills any of the following skill qualifications: K>=IP, BB=0, H<=IP, HR=0, and G-F>=1.00. Any reliever who doesn't reach any of the required statistical goals or fails to retire a batter earns a 0 QA score. Scores of 5 and 4 qualify as DOMinant outings, a 3 is DULl, and anything below 3 ranks as a skill DISaster.

Starters must pitch in five games before earning any of the following DOM or DIS ratings; relievers must appear in no less than 10 games before earning DOM/DIS consideration. All pitchers are evaluated as relievers aside from those who reached both 5 starts in a given season and qualified for DOM or DIS ratings.

A - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2006 starts
B - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2005 starts
C - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2004 starts

X - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2006 starts
Y - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2005 starts
Z - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2004 starts

a - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2006 relief outings
b - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2005 relief outings
c - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2004 relief outings

x - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2006 relief outings
y - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2005 relief outings
z - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2004 relief outings


We'll continue tomorrow with this week's NL LPR article.


Internet Challenge

SP(6)
Johan Santana: Fri:@OAK(K.Saarloos)
Roy Oswalt: Sun:CIN(El.Ramirez)
Pedro Martinez: No start.
Chris Carpenter: No start(DL)
Randy Johnson: Sat:@BAL(J.Halama)
Jake Peavy: Sat:@PIT(Z.Duke)?
Roy Halladay: Sat:@TB(M.Hendrickson)
Mark Buehrle: Sun:TEX(K.Millwood)
Curt Schilling: Fri:@DET(K.Rogers)
Felix Hernandez: No start.
John Lackey: Sun:@CLE(C.Sabathia)
Dan Haren: Sat:MIN(B.Radke)
Elmer Dessens: 3 Road at SEA.

With no desire to make any moves, we're letting the cap dictate our roster decisions this weekend. Colorado's return home puts Helton, Holliday, and Atkins back into the lineup for Tex, Burrell, and Encarnacion, however we don't want to swap Sullivan for Gathright, nor do we want to deploy Dempster.

We therefore will start Santana, Randy, Halladay, and Haren, and while we like Buehrle, we need to use Schilling and Lackey to land exactly at the cap.

Rotohelp.com(14th lg; 356th overall)
Week 9b: June 2-June 4

C	Victor Martinez		1020
C	Josh Willingham		340 
1B	Albert Pujols		2060
1B	Ryan Howard		880
2B	Chase Utley		1190
2B	Rickie Weeks		620
3B	David Wright		1210 
3B	Garrett Atkins		610
SS	Felipe Lopez		1070
SS	Jose Reyes		1030 
OF	Jason Bay		1380
OF	Chone Figgins		1350 
OF	Matt Holliday		1040
OF	Chad Tracy		1020
OF	Nick Swisher		620 
OF	Joey Gathright		450 
DH	Todd Helton		1380 
DH	Travis Hafner		1180 

SP	Johan Santana		1960
SP	Randy Johnson		1360 
SP	Roy Halladay		1230 
SP	Curt Schilling		1070
SP	John Lackey		940
SP	Dan Haren		860
RP	Huston Street		1300 
RP	Mike Gonzalez		1120
RP	Jon Papelbon		890
RP	Chris Ray		820

Total Salary for Week 9b:	30000


Today's Fantasy Rx: I'm not convinced that Eddie Guardado will resume closing in Seattle any time soon. Yes, the club should reinstate him merely to elevate his trade value, but contenders generally will employ him as a middle reliever anyway. J.J. Putz's dominance and surprisingly dynamic skill set this season suggests he could hold his new job indefinitely, so feel free to treat him as the undisputed closer.


Click here to read the previous article.

Please e-mail your comments to tim@rotohelp.com.
Daily Fantasy Rx
Out of the Frying Pan

Article Archives
Advertise on
Rotohelp
All content ©2001-18 Rotohelp, Inc. All rights reserved. PO Box 72054 Roselle, IL 60172.
Please send your comments, suggestions, and complaints to: admin@rotohelp.com.