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February
4th
2006
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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AL Outfielders: Day Six
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

American League Outfielders without Positive Draft Value

Quick Key to the tables:
AB = At-bats.  H = Hits.  BA = Batting Average.  HR= Home Runs.
RBI = Runs Batted In.  SB = Stolen Bases.  R = Runs.  B = Bats.  T = Throws.
Pos = Position qualification based on 20 appearances or max. # of games in 2005.
Age = Player's Age as of October 2, 2005.
4x4 = BA, HR, RBI, and SB in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters in 2005.
5x5 = BA, HR, RBI, SB, and R in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters in 2005.
RAR = Runs Above Replacement in 2005; Adjusted RAR = RAR modified to
consider a player's 2005 defensive rating in Scoresheet fantasy baseball.

We ranked players in order from the highest draft value in a 4x4 league to the lowest. As the majority of fantasy leagues allow you to keep anyone traded to the other league, we listed each player in the league where he started the season.


92.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Timo Perez17939.218215213O
CH White Sox4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 30B:L    T:L-2-1-9-9

Timo slipping to career worst .218/.266/.296 averages unsurprisingly resulted in the White Sox non-tendering him in December despite a general lack of outfield depth in Chicago. The light-hitting benchwarmer no longer possesses any noticeable speed or power, and with his BA completely tanking, he adds no positive value to a big league roster. Due not plan to roster Perez again.


93.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Jaime Bubela192.1050013O
SEA Mariners4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 27B:L    T:R-2-2-2.4-2.4

Please refer to our Post-2005 Prospect Review: Seattle for my comments on Bubela.


94.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Curtis Pride111.0910002O
LA Angels4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 36B:L    T:R-2-2-1.4-1.4

While a .289/.397/.489 performance with 9 HR, 56 RBI, and a 49:65 BB:K in 280 AB for AAA Salt Lake(PCL) clearly warrants continued minor league employment, Pride offers little to big league clubs short of capable work as a sixth outfielder. He simply will not receive the playing time to warrant a spot on any fantasy roster.


95.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Matt Watson489.1880504O
OAK Athletics4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 27B:L    T:R-2-2-3.6-3.6

Please refer to our Post-2005 Prospect Review: Oakland for my comments on Watson.


96.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Hiram Bocachica192.1050002O
OAK Athletics4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 29B:R    T:R-2-2-2.5-2.5

A broken wrist suffered at the end of spring training cost Bocachica nearly the entire season. Although he likely still owns decent speed, a persistently weak BA and general uselessness in the majors could keep him out of the big leagues outside of the briefest looks as injury filler. Oakland's decision to non-tender Bocachica similarly places his immediate baseball future in obvious jeopardy.


97.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Eli Marrero13825.181719119O
KC/BAL4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 31B:R    T:R-2-2-4.3-4.6

Two terrible months with the Royals somehow led to several solid weeks with the Orioles before torn thumb ligaments ended Marrero's season in July. Hopefully most owners will look at Marrero's .181/.239/.413 line and ignore him on draft day, but since he signed with the Rockies, he only needs to break camp in the majors to gain plenty of roto value. Marrero registered a .247/.293/.584 performance against left-handers, smacking seven homers in only eighty-nine at-bats. If Ryan Shealy cannot handle the outfield, Marrero should emerge as Brad Hawpe's platoon partner, possibly pushing his value into double-digits given his intriguing power potential. Do not forget about Marrero when searching for outfield depth during the endgame in NL leagues.


98.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Shin-Soo Choo181.0560101O
SEA Mariners4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 23B:L    T:L-3-3-2.5-2.5

Please refer to our Post-2005 Prospect Review: Seattle for my comments on Choo.


99.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Bobby Higginson262.0770101O
DET Tigers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 35B:L    T:R-3-3-3.6-3.7

Not officially retired despite spending all save ten games on the DL last summer with elbow problems, Higginson just might return to positive value if he can secure an NRI from a club like the White Sox, Phillies, Cubs, or Angels. He still owns plate discipline and power potential that could provide the foundation necessary for him to contribute to a contender, so if he breaks camp in the majors, a Dollar Days flyer could net you a helpful profit.


100.ABHBAHRRBISBRPos
Charles Thomas465.1090104O
OAK Athletics4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26B:L    T:L-4-4-5.9-5.8

The Mark Mulder trade worked out so well that no one in Oakland really cares that the Tim Hudson deal proved disastrous in 2006. Fortunately for Athletic supporters, Dan Meyer and Juan Cruz remain decent starting prospects, however Thomas may not reemerge as more than bench filler. While I realize he did not receive regular playing time in Oakland, compiling a .227/.319/.361 performance with a 35:56 BB:K in 227 AB for AAA Sacramento(PCL) during the summer suggests very limited upside. He still owns a little power, speed, and the plate discipline to post a helpful BA, but until he begins succeeding in the majors, I recommend continuing to doubt Thomas.


Designated Hitters discussed here tomorrow.


Today's Fantasy Rx: Although Eli Marrero ranks as an obvious sleeper in Colorado, Bubela and Choo possess the real roto potential here. Any injury in the Mariners' outfield could open the playing time necessary for either youngster to surge into double-digit fantasy value.


Click here to read the previous article.

Please e-mail your comments to tim@rotohelp.com.
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