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June
26th
2005
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
Rotohelp
Sunday Challenge Conversation, '05 Week 13
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Schedule recommendations for teams with 7 games

Good for hitters / Good for pitchers
Atlanta: 4 Road at FLO; 3 Road at PHI.

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Baltimore: 3 Home vs. NYY; 4 Home vs. CLE.
Cleveland: 3 Road at BOS; 4 Road at BAL.
Colorado: 3 Home vs. HOU; 4 Road at STl.
Houston: 3 Road at COL; 4 Road at CIN.
Los Angeles Angels: 4 Road at TEX; 3 Road at KC.
Texas: 4 Home vs. LAA; 3 Road at SEA.

Bad for hitters / Good for pitchers
Florida: 4 Home vs. ATL; 3 Road at NYM.


Schedule recommendations for teams with 6 games

Good for hitters / Good for pitchers
Arizona: 3 Home vs. SF; 3 Road at LAD.
Chicago Cubs: 3 Home vs. MIL; 3 Home vs. WAS.
Minnesota: 3 Home vs. KC; 3 Home vs. TB.
New York Mets: 3 Home vs. PHI; 3 Home vs. FLO.
St. Louis: 3 Home vs. CIN; 3 Home vs. COL.

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Boston: 3 Home vs. CLE; 3 Home vs. TOR.
Cincinnati: 2 Road at STL; 3 Home vs. HOU.
Kansas City: 3 Road at MIN; 3 Home vs. LAA.
Milwaukee: 3 Road at CHC; 3 Home vs. PIT.
New York Yankees: 3 Road at BAL; 3 Road at DET.
Toronto: 3 Road at TB; 3 Road at BOS.

Bad for hitters / Good for pitchers
Chicago White Sox: 3 Road at DET; 3 Road at OAK.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 3 Home vs. SD; 3 Home vs. ARI.
Oakland: 3 Home vs. SEA; 3 Home vs. CHW.
San Diego: 3 Road at LAD; 3 Home vs. SF.
Seattle: 3 Road at OAK; 3 Home vs. TEX.
Washington: 3 Home vs. PIT; 3 Road at CHC.

Bad for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Detroit: 3 Home vs. CHW; 3 Home vs. NYY.
Philadelphia: 3 Road at NYM; 3 Home vs. ATL.
Pittsburgh: 3 Road at WAS; 3 Road at MIL.
San Francisco: 3 Road at ARI; 3 Road at SD.
Tampa Bay: 3 Home vs. TOR; 3 Road at MIN.


Pitchers with 2 starts(to deploy everywhere you own them):
Bronson Arroyo: Mon:CLE(K.Millwood); Sun:TOR(R.Halladay)
Mark Buehrle: Tue:@DET(N.Robertson); Sun:@OAK(B.Zito)
Roger Clemens: Tue:@COL(J.Jennings); Sun:@CIN(B.Claussen)
Roy Halladay: Tue:@TB(S.Kazmir); Sun:@BOS(B.Arroyo)
Brad Halsey: Tue:SF(J.Schmidt); Sun:@LAD(Od.Perez?)
Joe Mays: Mon:KC(Z.Greinke); Sun:TB(H.Nomo)
Kevin Millwood: Mon:@BOS(B.Arroyo); Sat:@BAL(D.Cabrera)
Brian Moehler: Mon:ATL(H.Ramirez); Sat:@NYM(K.Benson)
Jamie Moyer: Tue:@OAK(B.Zito); Sun:TEX(K.Rogers)
Mark Mulder: Tue:CIN(B.Claussen); Sun:COL(J.Jennings)
Carl Pavano: Mon:@BAL(D.Cabrera); Sat:@DET(J.Bonderman)
Kenny Rogers: Tue:LAA(J.Washburn); Sun:@SEA(J.Moyer)
Jason Schmidt: Tue:@ARI(B.Halsey); Sun:@SD(T.Stauffer)
Tim Stauffer: Mon:@LAD(D.Houlton); Sun:SF(J.Schmidt)
Chien-Ming Wang: Tue:@BAL(S.Ponson); Sun:@DET(N.Robertson)
Dontrelle Willis: Tue:ATL(Jor.Sosa); Sun:@NYM(V.Zambrano)
Carlos Zambrano: Tue:MIL(D.Davis); Sun:WAS(R.Drese)
Barry Zito: Tue:SEA(J.Moyer); Sun:CHW(M.Buehrle)

Pitchers with 2 starts to deploy only in leagues that don't count qualitative stats:
Daniel Cabrera: Mon:NYY(C.Pavano); Sat:CLE(K.Millwood)
Brandon Claussen: Tue:@STL(M.Mulder); Sun:HOU(R.Clemens)
Bartolo Colon: Mon:@TEX(C.J.Wilson); Sat:@KC(J.Lima)
Doug Davis: Tue:@CHC(C.Zambrano); Sun:PIT(J.Fogg)
Ryan Drese: Tue:PIT(J.Fogg); Sun:@CHC(C.Zambrano)
Josh Fogg: Tue:@WAS(R.Drese); Sun:@MIL(D.Davis)
Zach Greinke: Mon:@MIN(J.Mays); Sun:LAA(J.Washburn)
Jason Jennings: Tue:HOU(R.Clemens); Sun:@STL(M.Mulder)
Cliff Lee: Tue:@BOS(W.Miller); Sun:@BAL(S.Ponson)
Hideo Nomo: Mon:TOR(P.Walker); Sun:@MIN(J.Mays)
Sidney Ponson: Tue:NYY(C.Wang); Sun:CLE(Cl.Lee)
Horacio Ramirez: Mon:@FLO(B.Moehler); Sat:@PHI(B.Myers)
Nate Robertson: Tue:CHW(M.Buehrle); Sun:NYY(C.Wang)
Wandy Rodriguez: Mon:@COL(Jam.Wright); Sat:@CIN(A.Harang)
Jorge Sosa: Tue:@FLO(D.Willis); Sun:@PHI(R.Tejada)
Robinson Tejada: Tue:@NYM(V.Zambrano); Sun:ATL(Jor.Sosa)
Jarrod Washburn: Tue:@TEX(K.Rogers); Sun:@KC(Z.Greinke)
C.J. Wilson: Mon:LAA(B.Colon); Sat:@SEA(J.Pineiro)
Jamey Wright: Mon:HOU(W.Rodriguez); Sat:@STL(J.Marquis)
Victor Zambrano: Tue:PHI(R.Tejada); Sun:FLO(D.Willis)


Diamond Challenge

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Fri:@DET(S.Douglass)
Johan Santana: Fri:TB(C.Fossum)
Jason Schmidt: Tue:@ARI(B.Halsey); Sun:@SD(T.Stauffer)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:PHI(J.Lieber)
Roy Oswalt: Wed:@COL(B.Kim)
Roger Clemens: Tue:@COL(J.Jennings); Sun:@CIN(B.Claussen)
Mark Mulder: Tue:CIN(B.Claussen); Sun:COL(J.Jennings)
Jake Peavy: Fri:SF(B.Tomko)
Dontrelle Willis: Tue:ATL(Jor.Sosa); Sun:@NYM(V.Zambrano)
A.J. Burnett: Fri:@NYM(T.Glavine)
Josh Beckett: No starts(DL)
Miguel Batista: 3 Road at TB; 3 Road at BOS.

Peavy looks like the only automatic to join the four doubles, but with our offense still flagging, deploying Burnett over Santana allows us to run our best position players.

Victor Martinez returns to the lineup for Buck as Glaus subs for the hurting Mora and Edmonds replaces Mench. Iguchi and Holliday stay benched as we opted not to use our last free agent move on Garrett Atkins.

Rotohelp.com(4th lg; 24th div; 562nd overall)
Week 13: June 27-July 3

 
C	Victor Martinez		860
C	Joe Mauer		440 
1B	Albert Pujols		1930
1B	Mark Teixeira		1310 
2B	Brian Roberts		960
2B	Marcus Giles		950 
3B	Troy Glaus		830
3B	David Wright		800
SS	Miguel Tejada		1800 
SS	Jose Reyes		850
OF	Carl Crawford		1560 
OF	Jim Edmonds		1250
OF	Adam Dunn		1110
OF	Miguel Cabrera		1110 
OF	Scott Podsednik		1090 
OF	Jason Lane		400
UT	Justin Morneau		680
UT	Chase Utley		480
 
SP	Jason Schmidt		1510 
SP	Roger Clemens		1280
SP	Mark Mulder		1060 
SP	Jake Peavy		1030
SP	Dontrelle Willis	870 
SP	A.J. Burnett		830
RP	Brad Lidge		1280
RP	Trevor Hoffman		1270 
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	1250
RP	B.J. Ryan		950 

Total Salary for Week 13: 	29740


Diamond Challenge 2nd Season

A desperate need for steals, a desire for a backup shortstop, and Counsell's continued ineffectiveness resulted in us adding Jose Reyes and cutting David Dellucci, who doesn't help in the categories we need most.

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Fri:@DET(S.Douglass)
Johan Santana: Fri:TB(C.Fossum)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:PHI(J.Lieber)
Roy Oswalt: Wed:@COL(B.Kim)
Roger Clemens: Tue:@COL(J.Jennings); Sun:@CIN(B.Claussen)
Jake Peavy: Fri:SF(B.Tomko)
Chris Carpenter: Fri:COL(J.Kennedy)
Dontrelle Willis: Tue:ATL(Jor.Sosa); Sun:@NYM(V.Zambrano)
A.J. Burnett: Fri:@NYM(T.Glavine)
Josh Beckett: No starts(DL)
Brett Myers: Sat:ATL(H.Ramirez)
Ryan Dempster: 3 Home vs. MIL; 3 Home vs. WAS.

With only our need for steals exceeding our need for wins, Dempster stays benched as Santana, Peavy, Carpenter, and Burnett join the two doubles.

Reyes subs for Counsell as Miguel Cabrera returns to the lineup for the ice cold Pat Burrell and Iguchi replaces Posada, who still owns decent skills but doesn't seem cap-effective right now. Morneau and Wright stay benched.

Rotohelp.com(4th lg; 44th div; 318th overall)
Week 13: June 27-July 3

 
C	Joe Mauer		440
C	Yadier Molina		280
1B	Derrek Lee		1440 
1B	Mark Teixeira		1310
2B	Brian Roberts		960 
2B	Chase Utley		480
3B	Alex Rodriguez	1880
3B	Morgan Ensberg		690
SS	Miguel Tejada		1800 
SS	Jose Reyes		850
OF	Bobby Abreu		1860 
OF	Miguel Cabrera		1110
OF	Scott Podsednik		1090 
OF	Brad Hawpe		750
OF	Kevin Mench		580 
OF	Brady Clark		540 
UT	Tadahito Iguchi		750
UT	Garrett Atkins		400

SP	Johan Santana		1710
SP	Roger Clemens		1280 
SP	Jake Peavy		1030 
SP	Chris Carpenter	930 
SP	Dontrelle Willis	870
SP	A.J. Burnett		830 
RP	Trevor Hoffman		1270
RP	Chad Cordero		1000
RP	B.J. Ryan		950
RP	Dustin Hermanson	920

Total Salary for Week 13: 	28000


Internet Challenge

SP(6)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:PHI(J.Lieber)
Roy Oswalt: Wed:@COL(B.Kim)
Roger Clemens: Tue:@COL(J.Jennings)
Ben Sheets: Wed:@CHC(K.Wood)
Mark Mulder: Tue:CIN(B.Claussen)
Dontrelle Willis: Tue:ATL(Jor.Sosa)
Miguel Batista: 3 Road at TB.

No starts: Randy, Santana, Peavy, Burnett, Beckett

Dempster soon may replace Batista for us, but with the Jays against the Rays, Batista stays for now. Clemens' superior skills at least leave us confidence of a win in Coors as Oswalt sits.

Victor Martinez and Edmonds replace Buck and Reed as Iguchi, Mora, and Holliday remains benched. While Reed's average might make him a better bet than Mench, the Rangers face the Angels for four in Arlington, giving Mench far more quantitative upside.

Rotohelp.com(2nd lg; 88th overall)
Week 13a: June 27-June 30

 
C	Victor Martinez		860
C	Joe Mauer		440
1B	Albert Pujols		1930 
1B	Mark Teixeira		1310
2B	Brian Roberts		960
2B	Marcus Giles		950
3B	Troy Glaus		830
3B	Garrett Atkins		400
SS	Miguel Tejada		1800 
SS	Jose Reyes		850 
OF	Carl Crawford		1560 
OF	Jim Edmonds		1250
OF	Miguel Cabrera		1110
OF	Adam Dunn		1110 
OF	Scott Podsednik		1090 
OF	Kevin Mench		580
UT	Travis Hafner		810
UT	Justin Morneau		680 

SP	Pedro Martinez		1450 
SP	Roger Clemens		1280
SP	Ben Sheets		1200 
SP	Mark Mulder		1060
SP	Dontrelle Willis	870 
SP	Miguel Batista		840  
RP	Brad Lidge		1280
RP	Trevor Hoffman		1270 
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	1250
RP	B.J. Ryan		950 

Total Salary for Week 13a: 	29970


Fantasy Baseball & Budget Baseball
(Same game = same rosters and moves for both teams)

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Fri:@DET(S.Douglass)
Jason Schmidt: Tue:@ARI(B.Halsey); Sun:@SD(T.Stauffer)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:PHI(J.Lieber)
Johan Santana: Fri:TB(C.Fossum)
Roger Clemens: Tue:@COL(J.Jennings); Sun:@CIN(B.Claussen)
Ben Sheets: Wed:@CHC(K.Wood)
Jake Peavy: Fri:SF(B.Tomko)
Dontrelle Willis: Tue:ATL(Jor.Sosa); Sun:@NYM(V.Zambrano)
A.J. Burnett: Fri:@NYM(T.Glavine)
Josh Beckett: No starts(DL)

Santana, Peavy, and Burnett will join the three doubles.

Offensively, we see little reason to deploy Helton, Hudson, Kearns, or Holliday while we lack obvious roster spots for Glaus and Reed given Lane heads to Colorado. Our only changes look like Martinez for Buck and Morneau for Drew.

Rotohelp.com(12th lg; 1048th overall)
& Rotohelp.com(18th lg; 2508th overall)
Week 13: June 27-July 3

 
C	Victor Martinez		1800
C	Joe Mauer		1140 
1B	Albert Pujols		3700 
1B	Travis Hafner		1870
2B	Marcus Giles		1850
2B	Brian Roberts		1770 
3B	Eric Chavez		2740
3B	Morgan Ensberg		1530 
SS	Rafael Furcal		2430
SS	Khalil Greene		1410
OF	Miguel Cabrera		2420
OF	Carl Crawford		2120 
OF	Scott Podsednik		1990 
OF	Jason Bay		1680
OF	Kevin Mench		1660 
OF	Jason Lane		1000
UT	Hank Blalock		2240
UT	Justin Morneau		1780

SP	Jason Schmidt		3180 
SP	Johan Santana		3090 
SP	Roger Clemens		3030
SP	Dontrelle Willis	2170 
SP	Jake Peavy		2090 
SP	A.J. Burnett		1900
RP	Brad Lidge		2510
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	2360
RP	Trevor Hoffman		2350
RP	B.J. Ryan		2060

Total Salary for Week 13: 	59870


Today's Fantasy Rx: We traditionally wait as long as possible to submit All-Star ballots since we believe very strongly that players deserve the extra few weeks or days to boost their stats. Our general method of selecting our team involves a few steps. First, objective analysis, largely based upon the RARP and VORP data available at Baseball Prospectus. Second, subjective analysis, where we narrow the list using more traditional statistics. Finally, as we compile our preferred 30-man squads, we insure representation for every team.

Our Recommended All-Star Ballot

	
POS	AL			NL
1B	M.Teixeira		D.Lee
2B 	B.Roberts		J.Kent
SS	M.Tejada		F.Lopez
3B	A.Rodriguez		A.Ramirez
C	J.Varitek		P.LoDuca
OF	G.Sheffield		B.Abreu
OF	V.Guerrero		M.Cabrera
OF	J.Damon		B.Giles
DH	D.Ortiz

Players who earned our vote for the second season in a row include Vlad, Sheffield, and Abreu while Manny's occasional struggles and Bonds' injury left us with no one on our ballot for more than two consecutive seasons.

You have until Thursday, June 30th at 11:59 PM(EDT) to vote as many times as possible here. ("As many as times as possible" means as many friends and family members you can either convince to vote or let you vote for them, multiplied by twenty-five ballots per person. While the process will likely take up to an hour per person to submit all the votes, every vote certainly counts now with some starting positions very much in question. Please vote as often as your schedule (and the rules) allow.


Click here to read the previous article.

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