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March
9th
2005
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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'05 NL Relief Pitcher Week: Day Three
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Per popular request, I will provide all of the player information tables for these articles even if I still need to complete comments for some pitchers.


National League Relief Pitchers with PDV below $4

Quick Key to the tables:
W = Wins.  S = Saves.  ERA = Earned Run Average (ER*9/IP).
WHIP = (Walks + Hits)/IP aka Ratio.  K = Strikeouts.  BB = Bases on Balls aka Walks.
H = Hits.  IP = Innings Pitched.  P = Pitches.  B = Bats.
Age = Player's Age as of October 1, 2004.
4x4 = BA, HR, RBI, and SB in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters.
5x5 = BA, HR, RBI, SB, and R in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters.
RAR = Runs Above Replacement; Adjusted RAR = RAR modified to
consider whether a pitcher qualified as a starter in Scoresheet fantasy baseball .

Players are ranked in order from the highest draft value in a 4x4 league to the lowest. As the majority of fantasy leagues allow you to keep anyone traded to the other league, all players are listed in the league where they began the season.


37.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Todd Jones1124.151.4259338482.1
CIN/PHI4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 36P:R    B:S3315.515.5

The journeyman columnist headed to his fifth and sixth teams over the past four seasons yet remained surprisingly effective despite unimpressive skills. Moving to the Marlins this year should result in the best numbers for Jones since he stopped closing in Detroit. Of course, he looks like no more than the third best option for saves, so while Jones should earn a few bucks, he doesn't merit much consideration as more than roster filler due to his general inconsistency and apparently limited upside.


38.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Rheal Cormier403.561.1946267081
PHI Phillies4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 37P:L    B:L3321.221.2

While his new two-year deal at least guarantees Cormier a spot in Philadelphia's pen, the continued erosion of his skills leaves his value to contending fantasy teams surprisingly questionable. He usually wins a few games and won't hurt you qualitatively, yet declining dominance and a poor pitchers' park also makes him vulnerable to an abrupt drop in effectiveness. Relying upon Cormier as more than roster filler is a bad move in most standard leagues.


39.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Luis Vizcaino413.751.1863246172
MIL Brewers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 30P:R    B:R3317.117.1

Continued homer run problems caused by a poor .72 G-F should cause severe problems for Vizcaino as he moves from Miller Park to the Cell. While Chicago's defense might keep his WHIP strong, Vizcaino's ERA should shoot over 4.00 unless he somehow manages to cut his homer rate. With a sliding strikeout rate and massively inconsistent effectiveness on a monthly basis, Vizcaino simply seems too risky to deploy right now in almost any league.


40.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Brian Meadows213.581.2246197678
PIT Pirates4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 28P:R    B:R2220.217.6


41.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Dave Burba424.211.2550267077
MIL/SF4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 38P:R    B:R221411.4


42.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Chris Reitsma624.071.3760208979.2
ATL Braves4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R2215.915.9


43.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Jose Valverde184.251.3538172329.2
ARI Diamondbacks4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 25P:R    B:R225.25.2


44.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Felix Rodriguez513.291.3759296165.2
SF/PHI4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 32P:R    B:R2219.419.4


45.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Kent Mercker302.551.2551273953
CH Cubs4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 36P:L    B:L2220.520.5


46.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Yhency Brazoban602.481.2227152532.2
LA Dodgers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 24P:R    B:R2112.911.8

Please refer to our Post-2004 Prospect Review: Los Angeles for my comments on Brazoban.


47.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Ricky Bottalico303.381.2761345469.1
NY Mets4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 35P:R    B:L2219.719.7


48.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Cal Eldred413.761.3154177167
STL Cardinals4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 36P:R    B:R2215.915.9


49.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Duaner Sanchez303.381.3544278180
LA Dodgers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 24P:R    B:R2122.720.1


50.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Mike Stanton203.161.3458337077
NY Mets4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 37P:L    B:L122424


51.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Mike Koplove424.051.4255378686.2
ARI Diamondbacks4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 28P:R    B:R1117.417.4


52.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
T.J. Tucker403.721.3344177367.2
MON Expos4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R1116.314.1


53.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Joe Horgan423.151.4330223540
MON Expos4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 27P:L    B:L1112.511.2


54.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Tim Harikkala604.741.2430235562.2
COL Rockies4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 33P:R    B:R117.35.2


55.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Orber Moreno313.381.1529112934.2
NY Mets4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 27P:R    B:R119.99.9


56.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Mike Adams203.401.2139145053
MIL Brewers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R1114.914.9


57.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Kevin Gryboski322.841.5224235450.2
ATL Braves4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 30P:R    B:R1017.717.7


58.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Antonio Osuna202.451.1736113236.2
SD Padres4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 31P:R    B:R1114.614.6


59.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Chad Qualls413.551.272483433
HOU Astros4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R108.77.6

Please refer to our Post-2004 Prospect Review: Houston for my comments on Qualls.


60.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Steve Reed303.681.3538177266
COL Rockies4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 38P:R    B:R1016.316.3


'05 NL Relief Pitcher Week continues tomorrow with more National League relievers.


Today's Fantasy Rx: Consider Mike Adams a giant bargain anywhere under $15 since we know the Brewers will trust an untested closer and the youngster owns excellent skills. Brazoban's high profile as Mota's successor with the Dodgers might raise his price uncomfortably high, so instead opt for targeting Chris Reitsma. If the surprising number of Kolb meltdown predictions prove correct, Reitsma alone should inherit one of the best slots in baseball for accumulating significant fantasy value.


Click here to read the previous article.

Please e-mail your comments to tim@rotohelp.com.
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