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February
21st
2005
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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'05 AA/AAA Starting Pitcher Week: Day One
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Minor League Free Agent and AAA/AA Starting Pitchers in the AL East

Baltimore Orioles
Minor League Free Agents:
Matt Bruback, 25, T:R, B:R.
1-9 on a 49:30 K:BB in 69.1 IP over 12 GS(14G)
with 85 H, 7 HR, and a 5.84 ERA for AAA Portland(PCL).
5-5 on an 83:36 K:BB in 75 IP over 13 GS(14G)
with 80 H, 7 HR, and a 4.32 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AAAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: #3 starter by 2008.
2005 Fantasy Potential: Roster filler.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $15 by 2009.

Andrew Lorraine, 32, T:L, B:L.
5-4 on a 74:36 K:BB in 120 IP over 19 GS(28G)
with 137 H, 11 HR, and a 4.50 ERA for AAA Ottawa(IL).
0-0 on a 7:1 K:BB in 7.1 IP over 6 G
with 4 H, 0 HR, and a 0.00 ERA for AA Altoona(EL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AAAA swingman.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major league reliever by 2006.
2005 Fantasy Potential: Roster filler.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2006.

Jeff Wilson, 28, T:L, B:R.
2-0 on an 18:10 K:BB in 24 IP over 1 GS(10G)
with 22 H, 5 HR, and a 3.75 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
3-4 and 1 Save on a 58:14 K:BB in 61 IP over 12 GS(14G)
with 73 H, 8 HR, and a 5.02 ERA for A+ Frederick(Car).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AA reliever.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA reliever by 2007.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Prospects:
Sean Bergman, 34, T:R, B:R.
7-10 on an 89:33 K:BB in 102 IP over 18 GS(20G)
with 119 H, 20 HR, and a 4.94 ERA for AAA Ottawa(IL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AAAA swingman.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major league reliever by 2006.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2007.

Brian Forystek, 26, T:L, B:L.
3-5 on a 43:32 K:BB in 61.1 IP over 11 GS(12G)
with 71 H, 6 HR, and a 5.58 ERA for AAA Ottawa(IL).
5-5 on a 75:41 K:BB in 84.2 IP over 15 GS
with 94 H, 16 HR, and a 5.74 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major league reliever by 2008.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $10 by 2010.

Joe Gannon, 29, T:R, B:L.
0-4 on a 10:26 K:BB in 19.1 IP over 4 GS
with 20 H, 1 HR, and a 10.24 ERA for AAA Ottawa(IL).
7-4 on a 58:62 K:BB in 108.1 IP over 15 GS(20G)
with 87 H, 6 HR, and a 3.90 ERA for I Newark(Atlantic).
0-1 on a 2:3 K:BB in 3 IP over 1 GS
with 5 H, 1 HR, and a 15.00 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major league swingman by 2010.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Carlos Perez, 22, T:L, B:L.
0-0 on a 1:1 K:BB in 1 IP over 1 G
with 4 H, 1 HR, and a 36.00 ERA for AAA Ottawa(IL).
3-5 on a 77:28 K:BB in 79 IP over 14 GS(15G)
with 67 H, 7 HR, and a 3.53 ERA for A- Aberdeen(NYP).
Appropriate 2005 Role: A/A+ starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: #3 starter by 2009.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $15 by 2010.

Robert Averette, 28, T:R, B:R.
5-1 on a 27:14 K:BB in 50.2 IP over 9 GS(10G)
with 54 H, 5 HR, and a 3.02 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
3-1 on a 31:4 K:BB in 43 IP over 6 GS
with 40 H, 4 HR, and a 1.88 ERA for I Brockton(Northeast).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AA/AAA swingman.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA swingman by 2007.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2009.

Dave Crouthers, 24, T:R, B:R.
9-9 on a 138:68 K:BB in 139.2 IP over 27 GS
with 134 H, 23 HR, and a 5.03 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major league closer by 2008.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $15 by 2008.

Brian Finch, 23, T:R, B:R.
2-6 on a 32:16 K:BB in 47.2 IP over 10 GS(11G)
with 73 H, 5 HR, and an 8.69 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
1-4 on a 22:15 K:BB in 37.1 IP over 9 GS
with 59 H, 5 HR, and a 7.96 ERA for A+ Frederick(Car).
2-2 on a 14:2 K:BB in 25 IP over 5 GS
with 23 H, 0 HR, and a 1.44 ERA for A Delmarva(SAL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: A+ starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA starter by 2008.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2009.

Cory Morris, 25, T:R, B:R.
3-6 on a 59:39 K:BB in 58.2 IP over 12 GS
with 60 H, 11 HR, and a 5.98 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
0-3 and 1 Save on a 23:20 K:BB in 21.2 IP over 6 GS(11G)
with 30 H, 2 HR, and a 7.48 ERA for A+ Frederick(Car).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AA reliever.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA reliever by 2007.
2005 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2009.

Hayden Penn, 19, T:R, B:R.
3-0 on a 20:9 K:BB in 20.1 IP over 4 GS
with 22 H, 0 HR, and a 4.87 ERA for AA Bowie(EL).
6-5 on a 61:20 K:BB in 73.1 IP over 13 GS
with 59 H, 7 HR, and a 3.80 ERA for A+ Frederick(Car).
4-1 and 1 Save on a 41:19 K:BB in 43.1 IP over 6 GS(13G)
with 30 H, 4 HR, and a 3.32 ERA for A Delmarva(SAL).
Appropriate 2005 Role: AA/AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: #2 starter by 2009.
2005 Fantasy Potential: Low-round draft pick.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $25 by 2011.


'05 AA/AAA Starting Pitcher Week continues tomorrow, featuring Minor League Free Agent and AAA/AA Starters in the American League Central.


Today's Fantasy Rx: Based on each player's keeper potential heading into his sophomore season in the majors, select rookie starters in the following order in minor league drafts; I've included the preferred round price for Ultra leagues: Francisco Rosario($5), Chien-Ming Wang($2), Chris Seddon($2), and Hayden Penn($2). Only Rosario appears likely to receive a decently long look this spring, but Wang also could emerge as the first homegrown long-term Yankee starter since Andy Pettitte, excluding Jose Contreras and El Ducky due to their advanced ages. Wang owns great skills and only needs a big league injury to open the necessary opportunity. Lastly, while Seddon and Penn currently rank way down the depth chart on their respective teams, both dominated the lower levels and possess the repertoire to contribute in the majors fairly soon.


Click here to read the previous article.

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